Chesapeake Bay Summer Forecast:
Click on the items below for the 2014 summer forecast indicators:
For the past several years, Chesapeake Bay scientists have collaborated with the Integration and Application Network to forecast Chesapeake Bay summer dissolved oxygen conditions, based on flow and nutrient loading conditions through May. Ecological forecasts provide resource managers with information that can be used to guide restoration, enable proactive communication of Bay conditions, and help direct research activities.
2014 forecast predicts slightly worse conditions than average conditionsHypoxia Forecast
The average July hypoxia forecast predicts worse than average conditions for 2014. This forecast is based on Susquehanna River nitrogen loads (January to May).
Early Summer Anoxia Forecast
The average early (June through mid-July) anoxia forecast predicts slightly worse than average conditions for 2014. This forecast is based on Susquehanna River nitrogen loads (January to May), May flow, sea level, and wind conditions.
Late Summer Anoxia Forecast
The average late (mid-July through September) anoxia forecast predicts slightly better than average conditions for 2014. This forecast is based on the Susquehanna River nitrogen loads (January to May).
Maryland Department of Natural Resources has reported on the early June dissolved oxygen conditions in the Maryland mainstem portion of the Bay. For updates throughout the summer, visit eyesonthebay.net.
The following individuals are acknowledged for their contributions:
July hypoxia forecast: Don Scavia (University of Michigan) and Mary Anne Evans (USGS)
Summer anoxia forecast: Jeremy Testa and Rebecca Murphy (University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science)
We would also like to thank Joel Blomquist from USGS for providing the provisional nitrogen loads estimates needed to forecast dissolved oxygen parameters.